2026 Revenue (Full Year)
ARPDAU
Q1 2026 DAU
Daily Active Users
Elder Revenue %
M12+ Concentration
Model Accuracy
3 Keys (Protect $8.8M Base)
Elder Revenue
Content Calendar
ARPDAU Growth
3 Vectors (Close $2.2M Gap)
Organic Funnel
~$900K
LiveOps Events
~$800K
UA Scaling
~$1.0M
Monthly Revenue Forecast (Jan 2024 - Dec 2026)
Actual
Base Forecast
Upside
Downside
Revenue Bridge: Elder vs New Cohort
Actuals vs Forecast Accuracy
| Month | Actual Revenue | Predicted Revenue | Error % | DAU Actual | DAU Predicted | Direction |
|---|
Year-over-Year Revenue Comparison
Retention Curves by Channel (Latest Cohort)
D30 Retention Trend (Monthly Cohorts)
Revenue per Install (RPI) Progression
Elder Concentration Over Time
ROAS Curves by Channel
Spend vs Revenue by Channel
Geographic Performance
| Region | Country | Installs | Cost | CPI | D7 ROAS |
|---|
Revenue Scenarios (2026)
Scenario Monthly Breakdown
| Month | Base Revenue | Upside Revenue | Downside Revenue | Base DAU | Base ARPDAU |
|---|
Model Information
Test Window
Methodology
Overall Accuracy
Backtest Results
| Month | Actual Revenue | Predicted Revenue | Rev Error % | Actual DAU | Predicted DAU | DAU Error % | Actual ARPDAU | Pred ARPDAU | ARPDAU Error % | Direction |
|---|
Monthly Prediction Errors
LTV Curves by Channel
Recent 30-Day ROAS by Channel
| Channel | D7 ROAS |
|---|
Campaign Performance (Last 30d)
| Channel | Spend | Installs | CPI | D7 ROAS |
|---|
Country Performance
| Region | Country | Installs | Cost | Revenue | ROAS |
|---|